When taxes on
the rich rise, revenues fall - every
time
But
what if they already are paying
their fair share - and then
some? And what if it backfires?
Sunday,
April 12, 2009
Mark
Altieri When I was a good
young socialist in the
1970s, I thought progressive
taxation was wonderful: Rob
from the rich to pay the
poor. As I grew older and
possibly wiser, I confronted
basic economic facts as an
academic and a tax
practitioner that
highlighted a glaring
deficiency with progressive
income taxation: Income tax
rates that are too high are
a disincentive to the most
entrepreneurial wealth
creators in our country
(they won't net enough
wealth after taxes to
justify continuing or
increasing their
productivity). That's why
the Obama administration -
if it is truly interested in
enhancing federal revenues
to lessen the impact of the
debt the federal government
has taken on since last fall
- will not raise income tax
rates on the rich. The
government needs money.
Forget the trillion-dollar
"stimulus" bill, the second
trillion on top of the first
to bail banks out of their
toxic assets resulting from
making subprime loans, and a
federal budget that proposes
trillions more in short- and
long-term debt. Those
obligations start looking
puny when you consider that
the present value of
unfunded federal liabilities
for future Social Security,
Medicare and Medicaid
benefits is $50 trillion.
That's right, in order to
buy votes, our friends in
Washington have promised us
$50 trillion worth of future
goodies without prepaying
for any of it. (If the CEO
of a private company did the
same for future pension
liabilities, he or she would
be in jail.) With such a
need for federal tax
revenues, logical people
could assume that the
president and Congress would
be focused like a laser beam
on pursuing policies that
would increase, not
decrease, revenues. Which
would mean raising taxes on
people with capital to use
for private-sector growth
should be the last thing
they would want to do.
Federal
progressive income tax-rate
structure.
Taxable
income is the pot of wealth on which
the federal government levies income
taxes. Taxable income will be the
net number on your tax return after
deductions, such as your personal
and dependency exemptions.
Multiplied against this taxable
income number are the federal
tax-rate percentages. Our rate
structure is progressive, in that
the more taxable income one has, the
higher marginal rate of taxation is
imposed on the next upward layer of
income.
For
example, for 2008, married taxpayers
were in the 10 percent rate bracket
on taxable income up to $16,050, and
were in the 15 percent bracket on
taxable income from $15,650 to
$65,100, and so on, until taxpayers
rose to the 35 percent marginal tax
bracket on taxable income in excess
of roughly $350,000. It is this last
group of taxpayers who approximate
the top 1 percent of income
taxpayers and constitute the
super-rich taxpayers who purportedly
have not been paying their "fair
share."
The Bush
tax cuts dropped the ordinary income
rates for all taxpayers (40 percent
to 35 percent for the top bracket
just mentioned) and the capital
gains rate from 20 percent to 15
percent. During the presidential
campaign, President Barack Obama
indicated that the Bush tax cuts
would be rolled back immediately
upon his taking office. Now the
administration has decided to wait
until Jan. 1, 2011, to implement the
rollback (this is the date that the
Bush tax cuts already were scheduled
to expire, barring new enabling
legislation to continue them).
The
proposed rollback of the Bush tax
cuts could push the ordinary rates
back up for all income taxpayers,
but the Obama administration has so
far promised tax rate increases only
for those with taxable income
roughly between $200,000 and
$350,000 (from 33 percent to 35
percent) and for the top bracket
above roughly $350,000 (from 35
percent to 40 percent) and the
capital gains rates for most
taxpayers back up from 15 percent to
20 percent or higher (the president
has suggested 25 percent).
What the
data show.
Could the
truth be that there is an inverse
relationship between income tax
rates and income tax revenues for
the wealthiest taxpayers? That is,
the higher the rates, the lower the
revenues from this group, and vice
versa?
Over the
years, this premise has been
vigorously challenged by the left,
despite historical data that
strongly suggest that it's true. A
proper focus on only the income tax
would note three major periods of
significant income tax rate cuts
prior to the Bush cuts: the
Harding-Coolidge cuts in the
mid-1920s, the Kennedy cuts in the
early 1960s and the Reagan cuts in
the 1980s.
The data
from these periods plainly show
significant increase in
macro-economic growth: As marginal
rates were cut, income tax revenues
went up, not down, particularly in
the top percentiles of taxpayers.
Did the
Bush tax cuts have similar results?
You would never know it from
listening to the mainstream media
"reporting," but until just a few
fiscal quarters ago, federal
revenues from income taxes were at
an all-time high, again most
markedly, when focusing on the
richest top percentiles of
taxpayers. According to a 2008 Wall
Street Journal article based on 2007
Treasury Department numbers, the
richest 1 percent of income-tax
payers in 1990 paid 25 percent of
the nation's income taxes. By 2005,
the richest 1 percent paid 39
percent of the nation's income
taxes. The numbers are even more
astounding if we go back to 1980,
prior to the Reagan tax cuts, when
the top 1 percent of income
taxpayers paid only 18 percent of
total income taxes.
How can
this be? President John F. Kennedy,
in promoting his income tax cuts,
noted the "paradox" of revenues
going up as rates are cut. But it
really is simple common sense.
Significantly lowering marginal
income tax rates stimulates people
(particularly the most
entrepreneurial) to create new and
more wealth since there will be that
much more left over after taxes.
Small
business takes it on the chin.
The vast
majority of small businesses in
America are conducted as sole
proprietorships, S corporations or
partnership entities (such as
general partnerships and limited
liability companies). These "tax
flow-through" entities have their
profits taxed at the individual
owner level.
Even if
profits are retained within the
business (as they frequently are) to
fund working capital needs, the
profits still are taxed at the owner
level under the individual income
tax rates that we have been talking
about. What that means is that
successful small businesses (the
true engine of American
entrepreneurism and job creation)
frequently are thrown into the
"rich" class and, on rolling back
the Bush tax cuts, will suffer
significant additional taxation.
That, in
turn, will mean what it always means
when a large additional cost of any
kind is thrust upon American small
businesses: a cutback in working
capital, entrepreneurial wealth
creation and employees.
Why?
If the
facts so clearly show that lowering
income tax rates on the rich
increases the amount of dollars of
income tax they pay, why would the
administration and other
revenue-hungry Democrats fight the
premise so vigorously? Prior to the
presidential election, we could have
consulted an honest (ha, ha)
political strategist to get the
answer. He or she would have noted
that arguing for upper-class tax
rate cuts was not the way to gin up
the average voter to vote Obama,
whereas the opposite argument was.
Another
reason is simple emotion and class
warfare. During the primaries
earlier in 2008, when newsman
Charlie Gibson asked then-Sen. Obama
about the phenomenon of capital
gains revenues going way up when
capital gains rates were cut, the
senator seemed to acknowledge the
fact, but concluded that if the rich
got richer, the only "fair" thing to
do would be to raise the tax rate on
them.
These
points should be heavily debated
before the rates are jacked up. It's
not that the rich aren't paying
their fair share; they are, and then
some, and have been paying
progressively more dollars as a
byproduct of creating more wealth.
That's OK with middle-class me,
because if we go in the other
direction, people like me ultimately
will be compelled to make up the
shortfall directly, through
increased middle-class taxation, or
indirectly through even greater
deficit spending.
Altieri is
a professor of accounting at Kent
State University, where he teaches
advanced tax courses, and also
special tax counsel to the law firm
of Wickens Herzer Panza Cook and
Batista in Avon.